When floating, don't box an expression that's okay for speculation (#13338)

Commit 432f952e (Float unboxed expressions by boxing) lets the float-out pass
turn, for example,

    ... (-# (remInt# x# 100000#) i#) ...

into

    let lvl :: Int
        lvl = case remInt# x# 100000# of v { __DEFAULT__ -> I# v }
    in ... (-# (case lvl of { I# v -> v }) i#) ...

But when, as in the example above, the expression that was floated out was
the argument of an application, the resulting application may no longer
satisfy the let/app invariant, because exprOkForSpeculation doesn't look
far enough inside the definition of lvl.

Solution: When the expression we floated out was okay for speculation, don't
bother boxing it. It will be evaluated earlier, and that's okay by assumption.
Fixes the let/app invariant and is cheaper too.

Test Plan: make slowtest TEST=T13338

Reviewers: austin, bgamari, simonpj

Reviewed By: bgamari, simonpj

Subscribers: thomie

Differential Revision: https://phabricator.haskell.org/D3217

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